#WeekendCoffeeShare: Words on Paper Edition

coffee2

If we were having coffee, I’d want to talk mostly about what you’ve been reading and watching lately.  I went to see Captain America: Civil War yesterday, and while I haven’t had time to review it yet the short version is “best Marvel movie yet,” which may already tell you everything you need to know.  I didn’t get to it yesterday because the afternoon turned out busier than I thought, but it’s coming, believe me.

What good books have you read lately?  I’ve mentioned this, but not a lot: I’m doing a project with my reading this year where I’m trying to limit my books by white men to 25% of the books I’m reading.  This has meant a lot of books by new authors, which means that competition is fierce as hell already for my top 10 list at the end of the year– because it turns out that when you say “I’ve never read anything by that person.  What’s their best book?” a lot, you read a hell of a lot of good books.  I’ve got some reviews to write there as well, most especially for Ken Liu’s The Paper Menagerie and Other Stories, which is flat-out the best short story collection I’ve ever read.  I’m mostly a sci-fi/fantasy person, as I think almost all of you know, but I’ll read literally anything in English that gets a recommendation from people I like regardless of the genre.  So what’s good out there?

(I started Claudia Gray’s Bloodline last night.  Her Lost Stars ranks among the best Star Wars books I’ve ever read, so I’m super excited to get into this one.)

So, yeah.  What’s good out there?  I’m still unemployed, so I’ve got nothing but time right now.  Gimme some recommendations!

 

In which the world sends me mixed messages

On the one hand, I got neither of the two jobs I interviewed for last week.  I really, really thought I was done with this, guys.  Hearing that I didn’t get called back for one of them because the boss thought I was probably smarter than her was just the icing on the cake.

On the other hand, the wife has taken the day off and I get to go see this in a bit:

571292.jpg

So… will there be a second post later today?  Probably.

Team Iron Man, btw.

Another in a near-endless series of election posts

2012electoralmapresultsfinal110812.jpg

So.

Donald Trump is the GOP nominee.

There are a few ways I could go with this.  I would describe my mood at the moment as “confident, but terrified.”  I think Hillary Clinton’s going to beat this man like a rented mule in November.  But there is a nonzero possibility– it’s not a large possibility, but it exists— that she won’t.  Shit happens.  And patriotism will no longer be remotely possible in a nation that elects Donald Trump president.

The Republicans at this point have proven that they are what the Democrats have been saying they were for the last thirty years.  All of their pretensions are blown away.  They have nominated an open racist and fascist as their candidate for the most powerful person in the world.  And while I’m aware #nevertrump is a thing, I don’t believe it for a second.  Republicans– or at least the pundits and political figures who are being the loudest about #nevertrump right now– always choose party over country, always.  Their former Speaker of the House just admitted to being a rapist and a pedophile and they defended him anyway.  Every single one of the #nevertrump people will come around.  All of them.

There’s lots of talk about high primary turnout.  Take it with a grain of salt, as primary turnout isn’t predictive of the general at all.  Right now, with the best data I can find, the Republicans have had about 25.1 million votes and the Democrats about 21.7 million.  That’s a 3.4 million vote deficit with California and New Jersey, both heavily populated blue states, left to vote; I wouldn’t be surprised if California wipes that deficit out all by itself, especially since Republican turnout is probably going to drop a bit now that the race is settled.  So it doesn’t mean anything, and it’s basically a tie anyway.

As far as the Democratic race, it’s all over but the shouting, although there’s quite a bit of shouting to get through yet.  Just going by the 85% rule, where Sanders wins any state more than 85% white, I would expect Sanders to win West Virginia, North Dakota, Montana, Kentucky, Oregon, and South Dakota, with Clinton winning New Mexico, California, and New Jersey.  You will note which column the states with lots of people are in.  I would guess the four non-state contests– the Virgin Islands, District of Columbia, Guam and Puerto Rico would all go to Clinton as well, but I don’t know the demographics of the Virgin Islands and Guam might fall under the Hawai’i exception, where there aren’t many whites but also few blacks and Hispanics.  Either way there aren’t a lot of delegates there and it doesn’t matter too much which way they go.  I’m more certain about Puerto Rico and DC is a virtual lock for Clinton.

Indiana marks the second time the polls have blown the result.  I have no hard data, this is just my gut feeling, but: Indiana is famously hard to poll, and I find myself wondering if the combination of that difficulty with Sanders’ biggest supporters being cellphone-only means that his people were harder to find.  At any rate, it’s not much of a surprise, because the 85% rule held up.  The other blown result was Michigan, of course, which– again, I’m guessing– was partially the result of a big post-debate Sanders swing that the polls didn’t have time to pick up.  Or maybe not.  Hell if I know.

But back to the general.  Here’s the thing you need to remember.  You should be paying no attention at all to GE polls right now.  Clinton’s ahead, yes, but I would fully expect that with Trump having sewn up the nomination and the Democrats still yelling at each other for a bit, we’re going to see some polls where Trump is ahead, and he should get a bump after the Republican convention.  (Should.  There is a distinct possibility that the Republican convention will be a tacky horrorshow that will cause the nation to collectively take a step back.  It might not help.  I’m really glad the Democratic convention is second.)  It’s not going to matter.  Look at that map up there, and think about the number of states Trump has to flip to win the election, with an electorate that is less white than it was in 2012.  And that’s assuming Clinton flips nothing.  I’m looking at Utah, believe it or not; Mormons hate this guy.  And I still say Indiana could go blue.  And there are probably several more.  Trump needs to flip 62 EV worth of states.  That’s a lot.  Where are they?  Which ones didn’t go for Romney but will go for Trump?

I’ll wait.

(There will be no third party runs, people.  I do wonder if some of the non-pundit, non-politician disaffected Republicans will land Libertarian, which actually have ballot access in most of the country.  But there is no time to put together a third-party run.  These things have deadlines.  They have passed.  No one who has not currently declared is running third party.  Stop talking about it.)

And this entire paragraph is a late addition: I’m seeing a lot of talk about the Republicans’ deep bench again, and how Trump will be hard to beat because he beat all of those Republicans on that deep bench?  That wasn’t a deep bench.  That was a worthless collection of halfwits, charlatans and grifters that I wouldn’t trust to jointly run a Denny’s.    It was a clown show.  Some fucker had to be the last man standing out of all that nonsense, and the fact that the loudest blowhard and bully managed to be that person doesn’t make the bully impressive.

All told: Do not panic.  It’s going to be fine.  split-dinner-1-web.jpg

Star Wars Day giveaway!

It’s May the 4th!  The Sanctum of the Sphere and Skylights are both free for a couple of days!  Go get ’em!  And May the Fourth be with you!

(IN OTHER NEWS: laid out by a sudden-onset migraine last night.  Right now my left eye is trying to convince me that it can’t see.  It can.  It’s a really weird feeling.)

Some post-voting #INPrimary thoughts

voting_rights.jpg

I didn’t get a goddamn sticker.

Let’s start with some general stuff:  demographically and politically, Indiana ought to be an easy Sanders win.  Not only is the state 86% white, which should all by itself indicate a Sanders win (he’s only won three states less than 85% white, and twelve of thirteen more than that) but we’re an open primary, meaning that whoever wants to pick up a Democratic ballot can do so.  Somehow, though, every poll I’ve seen so far has Clinton ahead, although none by an especially impressive margin.

Also interesting is that Hillary appears to have completely ignored the state, or at least ignored the northern media markets.  Sanders, Cruz and Trump have all had rallies in my city in the last week.  Clinton, as far as I know, had one small event a few towns over and that was the closest she ever got.  I’ve heard radio ads for Sanders, Cruz, and Trump, and seen commercials for Sanders, Cruz, and Trump.  My neighborhood was canvassed by volunteers for Sanders, Cruz, and Trump.  I’ve seen yard signs for Sanders, Cruz, and Trump.  It’s like Hillary’s not even running.  If ever there actually was a silent majority, Hillary Clinton supporters in Indiana are it.

(Note, for the record: every adult I know save one who has told me their preference and lives in Indiana is voting for her.  I know that’s anecdata, but I know Hillary’s people are out there, they’re just being really quiet.)

Cruz’s yard signs are square and weird, by the way.  I’ll update with a picture if I manage to spot one I can actually photograph. Trump’s going to win the state something huge; Cruz was done the second he uttered the phrase “basketball ring” and an endorsement by our enormously unpopular governor is not going to help him.  I don’t think anyone, anywhere should be voting for Trump but I can’t say I mind being a citizen of the state that finally drove a stake into that asshole’s heart.


More specifically, now, and hopefully I do have some readers from elsewhere in the state who can let me know what else is going on:  I voted at about exactly 9:00 in the morning and was voter #128 in my precinct.  There was a line of about a dozen people ahead of me, which has never happened before, and that voter number is higher than usual by quite a bit too.  Our state (maybe just the county? no idea) has switched with this election to using “PollPads” which is basically an iPad app that scans your driver’s license and verifies your address and then  you have to tell it which ballot you want.

With just twelve people in front of me, at 9:00 in the morning, the following happened:

  • One voter was not in the system.  When asked, he said he’d been living at his address for 3 years but– wait for it– had not updated his registration.  This is a clear case of voter dipshittery and the guy was old enough to bloody well know better.  He threw a fit anyway.
  • Two different voters, both elderly, were clearly unused to using iPads for anything and chose the wrong political party.  The poll worker was also elderly and hadn’t been confirming people’s choices with them before hitting the final “accept” button.  They were both told to call a number to get it fixed and wait 20 minutes or so while something got changed in “the system,” and the old man threw a fit, meaning I witnessed two old man fits in less than fifteen minutes.  He flatly refused to call any damn phone number because this was a democracy.  I am not sure what those two things have to do with one another.  At any rate, he got his ballot for the right party (you get two guesses which one, and the first one doesn’t count) and voted without making the call, at which point the poll-worker-in-chief chewed out the poor lady who was handling the iPad right in front of God and everybody for not verifying the parties.  I’m not sure what happened with the other lady.
  • Maybe we train our poll workers better?  The dude was an asshole for yelling at the poll workers but he’s not wrong that they should be double-checking shit, and the notion that you should have to wait 20 minutes for someone off-site to adjust your party choice before you vote is ridiculous.
  • There was one registration iPad.  I don’t know what happens if it crashes.  Polls close at 6, so that last hour is always hectic as hell as people get off work and streak for their polling place.  The lines are going to be fucking ridiculous.
  • Maybe we test this system on a year when there isn’t a Presidential primary, guys?
  • Oh, wait, Republican governor, I’m not surprised at all.  And I’ve also heard from a friend of mine who works polls at a tiny precinct in Amish country that they have two of the damn PollPads.  Gee, I wonder why a small polling place in Amish country might have two and a busier one in the city might only have one?

So.  Yeah.  Potential clusterfuck in the making, here.  We’ll see how it goes.

Why I’m voting for Hillary Clinton today

This post is adapted from my comments on this thread at James Wylder’s website.  source-hillary-clinton-will-announce-her-2016-campaign-this-weekend-660x400.jpg

I spent the majority of the primary season formally undecided between the two Democratic candidates.  I officially “endorsed” Hillary Clinton, if I can pretend I’m important to be able to use that word, about a month ago.  But if you read that post you will note that it’s mostly a post about why I’d decided not to vote for Bernie, as opposed to a post about why I was voting for Clinton.  And after some prodding on the matter by James Wylder, I figured that a more affirmative post was something worth writing– and if I’m going to write such a thing, why not post it on the day my state actually votes in the primary?

So, yeah:  by the time you read this, I will either be about to cast my vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary, or I will have already done so.  (Also, for those of you local enough for it to matter, Lynn Coleman, Dan Cruz, and Randy Magdalinski.)

I have said some terrible things about Hillary Clinton. If my 2008-era blog were still online, I could point you at some of them. Despite that, I’ll be proudly voting for her today. There are a bunch of reasons why that’s the case; I’ll touch on several of them. And I’ll say this right now: there will be people who can look at my reasons to vote for her and see them as reasons to not trust her. I’m aware of that, but these are MY reasons, so I don’t have to care.

My first reason to be happy to vote for Hillary is one that I know is probably going to catch me some crap: I am deliriously happy to be able to cast a vote for a woman for President. Period. We can argue about whether identity politics are “good reasons,” but ultimately I don’t care. We elected Obama; now I want a woman President. I want the stranglehold white men have on the corridors of power in this country broken, and this is another big crack in that foundation. Others may feel differently; that’s fine.

Second: one of the things I was very likely to tell people in 2008 about Barack Obama was that they should watch his campaign to see how he would govern. Obama ran a master-class campaign in 2008. Clinton did not, and she paid for it. She has– and this is a theme with her– watched and learned from her mistakes, and she is a VASTLY better candidate in 2016 than she ever was in 2008. People give her crap about changing her opinion, and only adopting more leftward positions when forced to. I see someone who’s willing to change her mind and learn from her mistakes. She’s running a clean, leak-free, no-drama campaign for office this year, and her advisors and the people close to her are all competent and doing their jobs. I was LIVID at some of the bullshit her campaign manager and some of her prime surrogates were pulling in 2008, and I know this isn’t about Bernie, but one of my problems with him is that he’s not controlling his people. I know the candidate can’t control their base, but they CAN tell their campaign staff to shut their yaps and do their jobs.

Third, and again this was a reason I frequently cited when I voted for Obama: I want the President to be clearly and obviously smarter than I am. Obama has spent his Presidency being the smartest guy in the room, and when I hear Clinton talk, while I don’t think she’s at his level (very, very few are, I think) I hear someone who is in full command of the details and the minutia of policy and someone smart enough to know their own mind and understand the nuances of what they’re trying to do. This has hurt her in the past (one of the big complaints about her health care bill was how complicated it was) but I need that from a Presidential candidate. She’s got the facts and figures and numbers at her fingertips, and she earned a reputation in the Senate of being 1) a very hard worker and 2) someone who was not afraid to get into the weeds of a new subject rather than rely on advisors. I want that type of person in the Oval Office, and I think she’s the only person in the race who IS that type of person. Maybe Cruz, actually; there are lots of reasons to vote against him but “he doesn’t know what he’s doing” is generally not one of them.

She’s a team player. I was very, VERY worried in 2008 about the PUMAs not coming home to Obama after the convention– much, much more worried than I have been about Bernie’s supporters. And then Hillary waded into the crowd at the floor of the convention and called for Obama to be nominated by acclamation. That was the first moment I’d been personally inspired by her, and it immediately revised my opinion of her up several points. She lost, she got over it, and she immediately went to work for her former opponent. No drama. She has worked hard to fund-raise for down-ticket Democratic candidates and she understands something that I think is critical for this race– that the President can’t do it alone, and if we want real change, just holding on to the White House isn’t enough– we HAVE TO change Congress, and we have to recapture more of the states. If she had lost this election, I have absolutely no doubt that she’d have worked as hard to get Sanders elected as she did for Obama.

Finally, and this ties in with my first point, I find a lot of the reasons people cite to not vote for Clinton to be, frankly, unconvincing.

I do not care about speaking fees. I care about results. I do not believe that Hillary Clinton, to pick one example, would not to work to rein in campaign finance because something something Wall Street. I’ve literally laughed at people for suggesting she doesn’t want Citizens United overturned. Citizens United existed so that right-wingers had a clever way to call Hillary Clinton a c*nt.

Is she ambitious? Absolutely. This is true of every single Presidential candidate in the history of forever. I think that she catches more crap for it than she has any reason to because she’s a woman. Is she untrustworthy? I don’t think so, and, again: “untrustworthy” and “ambitious” are words men use to describe powerful women. I want to be clear; I don’t think everyone voting for Sanders or against Hillary is a sexist, but I DO think sexism very much plays a role in the way we describe her.

Is she warm, empathetic, kind? Maybe. Sometimes. And I feel like she’s, again, done a much better job during this campaign of letting her personality out and being less outwardly controlled. But I don’t need the President to be my mother, or my drinking buddy, or my personal moral exemplar.  I need her to be President.  We’ve got countless examples of male politicians where “I’m a hardass” is virtually their entire reason for their candidacies; I do not need a female Presidential candidate to be huggable.

(Obama ran into a similar thing. He couldn’t ever be angry, because he knew that as soon as he got genuinely mad about something it would get turned back against him because he was a black man. Hillary is in a similar spot.)

I also find accusations that she’s a warmonger to be unconvincing. Is she more hawkish than Sanders? Sure. So am I. But the idea that she’s going to start six wars the day after she enters office is flatly ridiculous, ESPECIALLY in a context where her opponents on the other side have literally and unapologetically threatened to glass the entire Middle East as if it wasn’t a big deal.  She might be slightly more hawkish than Obama, but not much; say what you will about drones, but I’d rather have drones than another goddamned land war.

(You’d rather not have drones either?  Cool.  I ain’t mad atcha.  But your choices are “drones” or “nuclear weapons and land war.”  Trump and Cruz are both openly and obviously itching to use nuclear weapons.  Choose.)

I’ll post a picture of my sticker if I get one.

I’m not going to get a sticker again, am I?

What shall we talk about?

ronald-lacey-as-major-arnold-toht-in-raiders.jpgWell, the A to Z challenge is over.  I finished it, which shouldn’t surprise anyone as the last day I missed a post was in December of 2014.  So getting through April wasn’t that difficult of a job.

That said, I did it wrong.  A to Z is supposed to be about meeting people and interacting with other blogs, and I failed to do any of that.  I got my little posts done and had them pop first thing in the morning and let them serve as an excuse to not do a whole damn lot of other writing or exploring new blogs, which is not what the month was supposed to be about.  It also didn’t help with sales any.  Sales in general lately have been miserable, and that’s basically entirely on me; I’ve not been marketing smartly–  hell, I’ve not been marketing at all, basically, short of some passive links on the website.  My last few sales went unadvertised because I didn’t feel like pushing them.  So no surprise when they don’t result in untold riches and massive fame.

Let’s see, what else?  I had two interviews for two different jobs in the last week or so that I’m hoping to hear back from soon.  Hoping to get back on the horse and get some fiction done this week, too.  Now that it’s May I can officially say that I’ve been looking for a new job for a year, so I’m well beyond the point where I’m tired of it.  Hell, I’m tired of saying I’m tired of it. I’m sure y’all are tired of hearing about it.  So, c’mon, two jobs.  Hire my ass.

And the primary is tomorrow.  Turns out I haven’t voted early like I usually do and it’s unlikely that I’ll get out early and do it today.  We’ll see if I get a sticker tomorrow.  I never get a damn sticker.

A brief and possibly unenlightening note on my parenting style

c7842bd13a00e832fff847bac8ca6c78.jpg
I love this picture.  There are so very few pictures of Biggie smiling.

We had a toddler birthday party today, for one of the boy’s Hogwarts classmates– one of the ones I like– and we have another one next weekend for a kid he doesn’t go to school with.  I’ve talked about these things before, and I suspect most of you know what they’re like; the kids do their thing and the adults all stand around awkwarding at each other.  While learning kids’ names has been a job skill for a long long time and doesn’t take me long, I am terrible at remembering the names of adults, and even worse at remembering which adults go with which kids absent an obvious family resemblance.  And I don’t know any of the kids’ last names, so I can’t even fall back on Mr or Mrs. half the time.  Now, this party, as they go, was just fine.  I suspect this family is closer to Our People than most and, as I said, the daughter has proven to be independently entertaining on several occasions anyway, and she and the boy appear to get along well.

Also, the party was at the zoo.  Which, great, I like the zoo, but less great, because I applied for a job that could have had me running this party several months ago and never even got called for an interview.  I woulda done a better job than the person who was there, too, dammit.

Anyway.  I’ve been unemployed or on medical leave for the majority of this school year by now, so I’ve taken over all the dropoffs and pickups from school and probably a larger share of generic school-thing duties than dads typically do, so I’ve had time to notice something, and it really seemed to be turned to eleven today: people, for whatever reason, seem to think that everything I say to my son is hilarious.  Or, at least, they do when I’m not mad at him, and he’s a good enough kid that I rarely if ever have reason to be angry with him in front of people.  But I swear to god my every interaction with my son today got some adult nearby laughing at us.

I swear that everything about my interactions with the boy is entirely normal and not strange at all, and I have no idea why other adults find it so funny.  I swear.

(This is why this is an unhelpful glimpse at my parenting, by the way; I can’t even provide examples.  But for some reason, people think me talking to my son is real, real funny.  Do with that as you will.)